The Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) and the Energy Research Office (EPE) have launched the public consultations for the Ten-Year Energy Expansion Plan 2035 (PDE 2035) and the National Energy Plan 2055 (PNE 2055), reinforcing the strategic planning of the Brazilian energy sector and enhancing regulatory predictability for short-, medium-, and long-term investment decisions.
The PDE 2035 projects that the country’s installed capacity will increase from 249 GW to 359 GW by 2035, with significant expansion of renewable sources, particularly wind, solar, and distributed micro and mini generation (MMGD). MMGD is expected to grow from 40 GW to 78 GW during the period, reaching approximately 21.8% of the system’s installed capacity. In parallel, the plan highlights the need to expand flexible generation, estimating approximately 19 GW of additional thermoelectric capacity by 2035, of which 9.6 GW is expected by 2031, within the scope of the capacity reserve auctions.
System expansion is expected to require approximately 29,000 kilometers of new transmission lines and around 6 GW of battery storage systems. The PDE also indicates that total investments in the energy sector over the decade may reach approximately BRL 3.5 trillion.
In the oil and gas segment, the plan projects that Brazil’s peak oil production will occur in 2032. Regarding renewable fuels, the ethanol market is expected to reach 50 billion liters, while the sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) market may reach approximately 2.8 billion liters by 2035.
The PNE 2055, with a thirty-year horizon, adopts multiple scenarios and incorporates analyses related to decarbonization, technological innovation, and system resilience. The public consultations will remain open for thirty days on the official government platforms, allowing contributions from society and sector stakeholders.
It is recommended to monitor the public consultations to assess regulatory impacts and strategic opportunities in the energy sector. To submit contributions and learn more, please access Consultations 214 and 215 at: https://consultas-publicas.mme.gov.br/home
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